BASELINE SCENARIO

The term is also synonymous with the term business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, although the term BAU has fallen out of favor because the idea of business as usual in century-long socio-economic projections is hard to fathom. In the context of transformation pathways, the term baseline scenarios refers to scenarios that are based on the assumption that no mitigation policies or measures will be implemented beyond those that are already in force and/or are legislated or planned to be adopted.


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